Lesson 5

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Course: Math 20-2 SS
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Date: Saturday, 6 September 2025, 2:36 AM

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1. Lesson 5

Insert Title

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning

 

Lesson 5: Solving Problems Using the Normal Distribution

 
Focus
 

This is a photo of an inspector checking a production line in a bottling plant.

© Vasily Smirnov/20171976/Fotolia

 

Most companies that produce a product have a quality control department. The department’s responsibility is to make sure the products that are being made meet specifications and are safe.

 

Quality control technicians can be found in a variety of different settings. In a beverage plant, the quality control technician may systematically sample bottles to ensure that the contents are within the acceptable range (e.g., 298.5 to 301.5 mL). In a tire factory, a quality control technician may perform a variety of tests on tires that are produced to make sure that the batch of rubber used to make the tires is good. In a wastewater treatment plant, a quality control technician may test the dissolved oxygen content of the water leaving the plant to make sure it is safe and meets environmental standards.

 

This is a photo of a machine in a plant that makes auto tires.

© Vladimir Melnik/9991734/Fotolia

Quality control departments need to be confident in the decisions that are made. An error could result in a product that is not safe or that does not meet the company’s standards reaching the consumer or being released into the environment. Incorrect decisions or changes made to the process can be very expensive for the company.

 

Z-scores and the standard normal distribution can be used by quality control departments to analyze a process. This information can help companies make decisions about their processes and help identify places where changes may need to occur.

 

This lesson will help you answer the following critical questions:

  • How can the area under a normal curve be determined between two data values?
  • How can you determine a data point when given only the mean, standard deviation, and area under the normal curve?
  • How can z-scores be used to solve problems involving normal distributions?
Assessment

All assessment items you encounter need to be placed in your course folder.

 

course folder Save a copy of the Lesson 5 Assignment to your course folder.

 

Materials and Equipment
  • calculator

1.1. Discover

Mathematics 20-2 Module 4

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning

 
Discover
 

This is a photo of an inspector checking a production line in a juice bottling plant.

Andy Sotiriou/Photodisc/Thinkstock

In Lesson 4 you learned that z-scores could be used to determine how many standard deviations a data point was away from the mean. You used the z-score and the area under the standard normal curve to determine the percent of data that was less than or greater than a given value. Z-scores and the area under the standard normal curve can also be used to determine the percent of data that is within two data values.

 

Consider the following situation.

 

One of the best-selling items from OJ Juice Company is its 500-mL bottle of orange juice. When the production process is running smoothly, the volume of juice in the bottles is normally distributed with a mean of 500 mL and a standard deviation of 0.75 mL. The company’s quality control department has set a range of volumes that each bottle leaving the plant must meet. Each bottle of orange juice must be between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL.

 

Try This 1
 

Use the “Areas Under the Normal Distribution (x and z-values)” applet to determine the z-scores and the area under the curve that corresponds to a lower limit of 498.0 mL and an upper limit of 502.0 mL for the volumes in OJ Juice Company’s 500-mL bottles.

 

 

This is a screenshot for Areas Under the Normal Distribution.

 

Follow the guidelines for using the applet.

 

First, you need to enter the mean and the standard deviation by clicking on the mean and standard deviation buttons that are located in the top left corner of the applet. Enter the appropriate value, and then click OK. (If reading the values in this multimedia piece is a challenge, you may find it helpful to increase the text size in your web browser by selecting “Ctrl” and “+.”)

 

Now you can move the blue and green sliders to the corresponding data points (i.e., x = 498.0 mL and x = 502.0 mL). As you move the sliders, the applet will use the z-score formula to calculate the corresponding z-score for each value of x. The calculations are shown to the right of the curve. To show the z-score calculation for the lower limit, click on the blue z-score box. To show the z-score calculation for the upper limit, click on the green z-score box.

 

Note: You may want to verify the z-score calculations manually as the applet may have rounding errors.

 

The area under the curve is shown in red. The percentage of data that is within the two z-scores (and corresponding x-values) is shown to the left of the curve.

  1. What percentage of OJ Juice Company’s bottles contain between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL?

  2. If 15 000 bottles of orange juice are produced each day, how many bottles would meet the quality standard of volumes between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL?

  3. Suppose the management at OJ Juice Company wants to shorten the acceptable range of volumes to a minimum of 499.0 mL and a maximum of 500.5 mL. What percentage of bottles will meet this new quality standard?

  4. Of the 15 000 bottles of orange juice produced each day, how many bottles would not meet this new quality standard?

Answer

 

Share 1
 

Compare your results from Try This 1 with another student or appropriate partner. Once you have come to an agreement on the correct answers, discuss the following statement and question:

 

Putting product back through a production line or discarding product that doesn’t meet certain specifications is expensive. What action might the OJ Juice Company take to ensure more bottles meet the new quality standard?


 

1.2. Explore

Mathematics 20-2 Module 4

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning

 

Explore
 

In the Discover section you used an applet to visualize the z-scores and the corresponding area under the normal distribution for OJ Juice Company’s 500-mL bottles of orange juice. In the applet the calculations for the z-scores were shown but the area under the normal curve was just given to you.

 

The area under the normal distribution can be determined either using a z-score table or using a graphing calculator. In Lesson 4 you used the statistics function for normal distribution on your calculator to determine the area under a normal curve to the left of a z-score. The process for determining the area between two z-scores is similar.

 

This illustration is of a normal curve with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 0.75. The area under the curve from 498.0 mL (lower bound) to 502.0 mL (upper bound) is highlighted.

 

tip

Remember that these are sample keystrokes. Refer to your calculator’s user manual to find the correct sequence of keystrokes required for your calculator. To access the statistical function for normal distribution on your calculator, you may press This illustration is of the 2nd and VARS keys on a calculator. This illustration is of the 2nd and VARS keys on a calculator. and then select “2: normalcdf(.”

 

For example, to determine the fraction of bottles that will have a volume between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL, you need to enter the following into the statistics function for normal distributions on your calculator:

  • lower bound
  • upper bound
  • mean
  • standard deviation

This illustration is of a graphing calculator computer screen with normalcdf(498.0, 502.0, 500, 0.75) and a result of 0.9923391498 displayed. The lower bound is 498.0. The upper bound is 502.0. The mean is 500, and the standard deviation is 0.75. The area under the normal distribution between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL is 0.9923391498.

 

The area under the normal distribution between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL is about 0.9923 or 99.23%. Therefore, 99.23% of the bottles of orange juice would have volumes between 498.0 mL and 502.0 mL and would meet the initial quality standard.

 

Another strategy for determining the area under a normal distribution is to use a z-score table.

 

Try This 2
 

Use the interactive applet New Quality Standard to use a z-score table to determine what percentage of bottles will meet the OJ Juice Company’s new quality standard (i.e., a volume between 499.0 mL and 500.5 mL).

 

 

This is a screenshot for New Quality Standard.

 

There are different strategies that can be used to determine the area under a normal distribution. Depending on the question or situation, you may find that one strategy is more efficient than the other, or you may find that you are more comfortable using one strategy over another.


 

1.3. Explore 2

Mathematics 20-2 Module 4

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning


Self-Check 1
 

In an effort to have more bottles meet the new quality standard of volumes between 499.0 mL and 500.5 mL, OJ Juice Company made changes to its equipment and production process. When data was collected on the new production process, the volume of juice in the bottles was normally distributed with a mean of 500 mL and a standard deviation of 0.45 mL.

 

If the production process produces 15 000 bottles in one day, determine how many of these bottles will now meet the quality standard of a volume between 499.0 mL and 500.5 mL.

 

Answer



textbook

Read “Example 4: Solving a quality control problem” on pages 288 to 290 of your textbook. As you read over Logan’s and Nathan’s solutions, consider the effect of using rounded values from a z-score table versus using the complete values for the statistical function on a graphing calculator. Which gives the more accurate answer?


Self-Check 2
 

Complete “Practising” question 11 on page 292 of your textbook. Answer


This is a photo of a pile of rusty mufflers in a junkyard.

Photos.com/Thinkstock

In Lesson 4 you learned how normal distributions help manufacturers determine the fraction of their products that last over a certain period of time. Normal distributions can also be used to help manufacturers determine what length of warranty to offer.

 

Try This 3
 

Recall the Millennium Mufflers from Lesson 4. The lifetime of the best-selling muffler, the Millennium Muffler, is normally distributed with a mean of 7.2 years and a standard deviation of 1.8 years. Suppose the muffler company wanted to determine what length of warranty to offer to restrict the number of muffler claims to less than 5% of the Millennium Mufflers sold. View the animation Length of Warranty for a Millennium Muffler.

 

 

This is a screenshot for Length of Warranty for a Millennium Muffler.

muffler: iStockphoto/Thinkstock


 

1.4. Explore 3

Mathematics 20-2 Module 4

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning

 

textbook

Read “Example 3: Using z-scores to determine data values” on pages 287 and 288 of your textbook to see how the standard normal distribution can be used to determine unknown data values.

 

tip

The invNorm( function on the graphing calculator can help you find a z-score as well if needed.

 

Just key in the area to the left of the unknown z-score, close the bracket, and choose Enter.

 

This is an illustration of a graphing calculator screen showing that the statistical function invNorm(.05) and is equal to –1.644853626.

 

So, an area of 0.05 (to the left of a z-score) occurs when the z-score is −1.64.



Self-Check 3
  1. Complete “Practising” questions 15, 17, 19, and 20 on pages 293 and 294 of your textbook. Answer

  2. For a challenge, complete “Extending” question 22 on page 294 of your textbook. Answer

Did You Know?

The normal distribution has many applications. For instance, did you know that employee performance is sometimes normally distributed?

This is a photo of an employee using a time card at a time clock. The message on the screen states “8:01 YOU’RE LATE!”

iStockphoto/Thinkstock



 

This illustration shows a woman holding a pencil against her chin as she thinks about a situation.

© Dana Heinemann/1958825/Fotolia

Many different situations can be modelled by a normal distribution. In the last two lessons, you have seen a variety of examples where a normal distribution can be used to visualize a situation and help gather data to make the best decision for that particular situation. Now it is your turn to come up with a situation.



Share 2


textbook

Complete “Extending” question 24 on page 294 of your textbook. When you exchange your questions with a partner, be sure to ask your partner for clarification if you are uncertain about any part of his or her question. This will help you to have a meaningful discussion about the question and its solution.


 

1.5. Connect

Mathematics 20-2 Module 4

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning

 

Connect
 
Lesson Assignment


assignment

Complete the Lesson 5 Assignment that you saved to your course folder.



1.6. Lesson 5 Summary

Mathematics 20-2 Module 4

Module 4: Statistical Reasoning

 
Lesson 5 Summary
 

This illustration is of a stamp that says “Quality Control Approved.”

© Beboy/11866489/Fotolia

Quality control departments are the gate keepers of the manufacturing process. They make sure that the product leaving a facility is safe and that it meets the company’s standards and the customer’s expectations.

 

Quality control technicians need to make well-informed decisions. For data that is normally distributed, quality control technicians can use normal curves and z-scores to help them make decisions. For instance, technicians can help companies to determine how much of the product is meeting specifications or standards. This information is also useful for companies trying to set standards or determine warranty periods. If the standards are too narrow or the warranties too long, the company has to discard a lot of product and loses money. If the standards are too wide or warranties are too short, the company may have a lot of customer complaints.

 

This illustration shows stickers shaped like wrenches and labelled with 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 year warranties.

© piai/27532310/Fotolia

The normal distribution can provide companies with valuable information that can be used to improve processes. For example, you discovered that if the OJ Juice Company decreased the standard deviation for the volume of juice in its 500-mL bottles, a larger percentage of the product coming off the production line would meet the new quality standard of between 499.0 mL and 500.5 mL.

 

Z-scores and the normal distribution can also help companies to determine what length of warranty to offer on a product.

 

In the next lesson you will look at the importance of confidence in the interpretation of statistical data.