Unit E: Statistics and Probability

Chapter 2: Probability


Summary


Probability

    • Probability compares the number of favourable outcomes to the total number of outcomes.
    • Probability can be stated as a fraction, decimal, percent, ratio, or statement.
    • The formula for probability is

      «math xmlns=¨http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML¨» «mi»probability«/mi» «mo»=«/mo» «mfrac» «mrow» «mi»number«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»of«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»favourable«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»outcomes«/mi» «/mrow» «mrow» «mi»total«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»number«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»of«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»possible«/mi» «mo»§#160;«/mo» «mi»outcomes«/mi» «/mrow» «/mfrac» «/math»

    Similarities between Probability and Odds

    • Both can be written as a ratio or as a statement.
    • Both describe chances of an event occurring (or not occurring).

    Differences between Probability and Odds

    • Odds are written as a ratio or statement, whereas probability can be written as a decimal, fraction, ratio, percent, or statement.
    • Odds compare desirable to undesirable events or vice versa, whereas probability compares a desired event to total possible outcomes.
    • Odds can be expressed using any two positive numbers, whereas probability ranges from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%).

    Odds in Favour

    • Odds in favour compare the number of favourable outcomes to the number of unfavourable outcomes.
    • Odds are always stated as a ratio or statement.
    • The formula for odds in favour is

      odds in favour = number of favourable outcomes : number of unfavourable outcomes

    Odds Against

    • The odds against an event are the odds of an event not occurring.
    • The formula for odds against is

      odds against = number of unfavourable outcomes : number of favourable outcomes

    Finding Probability Given Odds

    • To find the probability when the odds in favour or odds against are given, it is useful to complete the following table.

      favourable outcomes
      unfavourable outcomes
      total outcomes